Thursday, December 3, 2009

CEOs' Long View (and short ones, too)

When casting their eyes upon the horizon that is their marketplace, a majority of CEOs and Business Owners in Northeastern Wisconsin look no farther than the nose on their face. When it comes to business, The Long View is considerably shorter these days…

With all the economic indicators and gauges available on their corporate dashboard, CEOs up here on the Tundra seem more concerned with the Speedometer than that annoying, periodic Oil Change Idiot Light. They’re barreling down the road faster than a 16-year-old with a new license and a hot date. They’re living in The Now, right now!

According to data collected last month by the Nicolet Bank Business Pulse©, 77% of the CEOs and Business Owners in Northeastern Wisconsin use only glancing reliance on the economic data being “on starred” to their dashboards. According to CEOs, the data they look at has a six-month warranty, at best.

Even with a short window of reliance on economic data for their business, CEOs and Business Owners take a much longer view when it comes to their personal investment horizon: 80% look out more than a year; 11% say the have a “One Year” window. Five percent said they look out six-months; 2% look ahead to the next quarter; 2% look ahead just 30-days when formulating their personal investment strategies. (THAT’S living in the NOW!)

Those strategies seem to be reflected in the personal portfolios. CEOs were asked: “Which of the following do you have MOST of your investments today?”

Half are mostly in Stocks; 32% are mostly in Real Estate. Fourteen percent said they have the majority parked in Money Market accounts; 2% in Bonds; 2% in Gold and Silver; ONE percent in T-Bills.

If they were making NEW investments today, 45% said they’d be buying Stock; 28% would be buying Real Estate. Money Market Accounts (6%), Bonds (6%) and Treasuries (3%) didn’t get much action this quarter, but Gold and Silver jumped 10 points to 12%. (Some CEOs must have known something was up in the Metals Market because Nicolet Bank asked these questions in early November - before Gold’s dramatic, month-long Gold Rush. Whatever gauge or indicator Nicolet Bank CEOs were watching back then, some were Dead On with their prediction of the new, ‘Oh-Niner Gold Rush. They nailed it.)

CEOs who jumped on the '09 Gold Rush must be the ones who will spend more "Gold" on Christmas this year. Two percent said they were going to spend MORE this year compared to last; 52% said they would spend the SAME; 46% said they’d spend LESS.

Six percent will be giving employees a larger Holiday Bonus this year (14% will be the same as last year; 18%, less). Eight percent of those who gave bonuses last year will not give one this year; 8% are Not Sure. (29% never give a Holiday Bonus; 18% haven’t given them for a few years.)

Beyond Christmas and Holiday spending, 64% of the CEOs said they were spending less on themselves during the recession (new clothes, personal care, fitness training). They said they were cutting other personal spending, as well: “In what ways has the recession affected your personal spending?”

Fifty percent said they were spending less on durable products for their homes; 49% were eating out less; 42% reduced their vacation plans; 31% are putting of retirement a few years; 27% are putting off a new car.

Wednesday, December 2, 2009

Recovery? My Donkey!

For the ninth consecutive quarter, according to the Nicolet Bank Business Pulse, the confidence of CEOs and Business Owners - up here on the Tundra anyway - remains stuck below 100.

The Nicolet Bank Business Pulse© measures Current Economic Conditions compared to three months ago - as well as Future Economic Expectations of business leaders over the next three months. Current and Future indexes are then combined into the overall Business Pulse Index. Scores lower than 100 indicate more negative than positive responses.

The Business Pulse © dipped slightly to 97.8 down from 99.9 in Q2 2009. This is the ninth consecutive month that confidence has been below 100. The Pulse© recorded its lowest level last year (Q4 2008) at 63.8; its highest point was Q4/03: 137.4.




Wednesday, October 21, 2009

Jay Bird now Free Bird

LONG Story short: 3 days ago, former Congressman Jay Johnson was dead before he hit the floor: MASSIVE Heart Attack. He died just days after his wife was diagnosed with breast cancer. Jolee Johnson now needs your help - more than just your condolences.

Yesterday, we established The Jay Johnson Memorial Fund at:
Nicolet National Bank. Please consider a memorial for Jay/Jolee.

Jay Johnson Memorial Fund
Nicolet National Bank
111 N Washington
Green Bay WI 54301

I'll write more about Jay Bird later, but for now we need to get this done. Thank you for participating - and forwarding this information.

Tuesday, October 20, 2009

Swine Flu Over The Cuckoo's Nest

Since everyone is SICK with the Swine Flu, we FEARED we were DISCOURAGING people from entering with our tight Deadline SO, we're extending it! Everyone who's interested has a chance to get it on the $20,000 action...the sick and the well :)

HERE'S THE ANNOUNCEMENT from Reuters.

Thursday, October 15, 2009

Harvard's in the House

It's "heady" up here on the Tundra these days...

Harvard's in the House - Boston U, too! Pace, Pomona, Prairie View, Alcorn State, Olivet Nazarene...even the appropriately named university: Northwood is in the 'hood.

In a place better known for wearing large Chunks of Cheese
on your head, Mortar Boards are now all the rage. Ever since a local businessman held out a mitt full of cash and threw down the iOme Challenge, we've been 'crawlin with Academics, Frat Boys, Coeds and Keggers. Around here, Higher Ed is nearly more popular than the traditional Trinity of Cheese, Paper and
The Green Bay Packers
. College is a Cottage Industry.

Colleges from all over the US - including heavyweights like Michigan, Colorado, Virginia, Arizona, The Air Force Academy - have taken up our Colossal Challenge to redesign the US Retirement "System." More teams are signing up every day.

The Students are doing it for all the right reasons (never mind the $20,000 first place prize, a trip to Washington DC to present ideas to Congress, as well as obligatory networking and photo-op parties for facebook, resume enhancement and other cool stuff).

The students have taken up the iOme challenge primarily, I think, for self preservation; they don't know much about retirement, but they intuitively know that things aren't quite right with the system as it stands today; they're uncertain as to what their retirement will look like in 45 years, but all they have to do is look at their parents: "Geeze! I don't want to be like that when I'm old!"

We're hoping iOme can be a catalyst to get kids thinking about retirement and perhaps, acting on it at an early age like, say, RIGHT NOW!

As a Board Member of the iOme Challenge, it's great to be involved with all these young people: SO much enthusiasm; SO much intellectual firepower. It's really cool that the Tundra has evolved into the epicenter of higher education and financial planning - instead of just a lonely outpost out on the ice. I wonder what I'll learn from all this activity?

We struck a nerve; we're expecting 250 MORE Teams to enter. How cool is that?

Tuesday, October 6, 2009

Retirement Week? Have a Nice Day :)

Next week, based on unanimous resolutions from BOTH houses of Congress, Americans will celebrate: National Save for Retirement Week. I have 3 questions:

Q1: Save What? You mean, the money left over after taxes? (We need a Week to celebrate THAT?) Even on the Frozen Tundra, leftovers don't last a week - unless it's 'Jerky!)

Q2: ROI? Where are YOU putting your after-tax savings right now, and what's your return on that?

Q
3: Retirement? ME? Is Congress out of its Effen Mind? (Don't answer that!)

OK, that last question about Congress made it 4...here's another: Congress passed this resolution unanimously so, which despot dropped a Nuke on New York? Save for Retirement Week was Unanimous? TWICE? Somebody's lying in Washington!

We're a long way from DC up here on the Tundra, but it seems to me at the rate we're going, the only money ANY of us will have left for retirement will only last a week! I'm not sure I'm up for a party to celebrate that but, maybe, a week long celebration 'bout retirement might be exactly what this country needs: It might take our minds off Healthcare, Afganistan, the new G5...

The Party starts next week!

Sunday, September 27, 2009

a BIG, Hairy Pot of Money

iOme Challenge pot is now up to $20,000.

Thanks for sharing this LINK with any college student you know -
and parents of students you may know...